Draft Assistant
Rookies & Sophomores
26–27 fantasy projections and draft range estimates for the top rookies and second-year players. ADP and team fits will refresh after the June NBA Draft.

Led all D1 freshmen with 25.5 PPG across 35 games at BYU, adding 6.8 REB and 3.7 AST — the third-most points ever by a D1 freshman. Combine measurements confirmed the bet: 6'8.5" barefoot, 7'0.25" wingspan, 42-inch max vertical, and 76.7% on dribble pull-ups in scrimmages. Defensive instincts and length translate, but 33.1% from three and 0.3 BLK/g are real fantasy limiters.
Year-1 fantasy archetype is PTS + REB + FG% on real volume — a scoring wing whose efficiency holds because the rim diet does. The open questions are 3PM rate against NBA spacing and whether the defensive tools convert to STL/BLK production. Slots cleanly into builds that lean PTS/REB/FG% and shouldn't break any common cat punts.

20.2/4.2/1.6 with 1.4 STL across 24 games at Kansas — missed 11 games to a hospitalization-level full-body cramping issue plus other ailments. Combine confirmed the physical bet: 6'4.5" barefoot, 6'9.75" wingspan, 37.5-inch max vertical. Shot 38.2% from three on real volume, 82.6% from the line, and hit 76% on combine spot-ups. The 1.6 AST is the question mark for a lead-guard projection.
Year-1 fantasy archetype is PTS + 3PM + FT% + STL — a clean cat profile if the minutes land. Health is the real variable; the cramping issue at Kansas cost him a quarter of the season. The AST baseline is also light for a player getting drafted as a lead guard — that's the development bet.

22.0/10.3/4.1 with 1.4 STL and .559 FG across 37 games at Duke, plus a 39.6% 3P stroke on real volume. Named ACC Player of the Year AND ACC Rookie of the Year — Duke went 35-3, lost to UConn in the Elite Eight. The skill set is complete: scoring against any coverage, reads the game years ahead of his age, finishes through contact. The only quibble is 0.6 BLK/g for a frontcourt prospect.
Year-1 fantasy archetype is high-floor across PTS, REB, FG%, FT%, plus real STL and AST production — the lowest-variance profile in the class. BLK is the meaningful gap for a frontcourt prospect; he won't anchor a Punt FT% build the way a true rim-protector does. Slots into virtually any non-Punt-FG% roster.

19.8/9.4/2.7 with 1.5 STL and 1.4 BLK across 24 games at UNC — broke a bone in his left hand Feb 10 and his right thumb on a practice dunk March 5, ending his season. Physical tools shine: 6'9.25" with a 7'+ wingspan, 39-inch combine vertical, and 66 dunks in 24 games. The catch is the shooting: 25.9% from three and .713 FT% — efficiency outside the paint is unproven.
Year-1 fantasy archetype is REB + BLK + FG% + STL — a defensive-big template that's hard to find at any draft cost. The .713 FT% makes him a natural Punt FT% anchor; the weakness is free in that build. Shooting touch and hand-injury durability are the variables to track.

17.9/5.1/4.2 with just 1.8 TO on .445 FG and .397 3P% as Illinois's primary offensive catalyst — dropped 46 on Purdue in January, an Illinois freshman record. Won the Jerry West Shooting Guard of the Year AND Big Ten Freshman of the Year, plus Consensus All-America Second Team. 6'6" with a polished offensive game and an unusually low turnover rate for a lead-creator freshman.
Year-1 fantasy archetype is PTS + 3PM + AST + low TO from a shooting guard — a rare cat combination at the position. The lead-creator profile with low TO is the real selling point in cat leagues; high-usage rookies are usually turnover sinks. Role on an actual NBA roster is the variable; usage anywhere is the catalyst.

SEC Player of the Year and SEC Tournament MVP — 23.5/3.1/6.4 on .484-.440-.809 splits at Arkansas. First player since Pete Maravich to lead the SEC in points and assists in the same season. Hit 30+ six times, dropped 49 in a double-OT loss at Alabama. Combine measurements were below average (6'2" with 6'7" wingspan), and on-ball defense was a documented weakness all year.
Year-1 fantasy archetype is PTS + AST + 3PM + FT% — a complete offensive line from a starting PG. Size and on-ball defense cap the STL/BLK ceiling, so he won't fit defensive-stocks builds, but the offensive cat coverage is rare. Slots cleanly into balanced or AST/3PM-leaning rosters.

One of the best rookie fantasy seasons in recent memory. Flagg didn't need a crutch category — he just produced everywhere, every night. 21 points, 6.7 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.2 steals, 0.9 blocks, 46.8% FG across 70 games — and he's only 19! Dallas gave him a central role from day one and he never gave it back. The last 30 days were the real statement: 24.8/6.6/5.3/1.4/1.1, top-15 in the entire league. The only thing missing is the three-ball at 1.0 per game — everything else is already elite.
His role in Dallas is indisputable — heavy minutes, ball in his hands, no asterisk. The fantasy DNA is all there: stocks, rebounds, assists, scoring, non-destructive percentages. He's entering Tatum/Ant territory — and he got there without fully optimized NBA efficiency yet. Year-2 stat line could look like 25-7-5, 1.5 steals, 1.1 blocks with improved FT%. Floor is top-20, upside is top-12. Target him in picks 10–18 in competitive leagues. If the hype gets silly and someone takes him top-8, it wouldn't even be insane.

Finished the season ranked 62nd overall — then closed at 39th over the last 30 days. That trajectory is the whole story. Edgecombe's athleticism translated immediately on the defensive end and the offensive game was still developing mid-season. The encouraging part: he produced next to real stars and real competition, not empty-tank stats. Late-season surge from an athletic two-way guard with a growing role is exactly the profile fantasy managers should be aggressively buying.
The best 'beat ADP' candidate of the group. People consistently underdraft guys whose rookie year wasn't ultra-efficient but ended strong — and Edgecombe fits that mold perfectly. If the offensive polish develops, steals, rebounds, transition buckets, and improving 3PT volume suddenly add up to a top-25 fantasy guard. Reasonable expectation is top-35 to top-45. Upside is top-20 if efficiency spikes. Grab him in R3–R4 before someone else does.

18.5 PPG, 3.4 threes, 86.3% FT across 81 games as a starter in Charlotte — Knueppel announced himself as one of the best three-point shooters in the league right out of the gate. The volume, the efficiency, the shot off the dribble — all of it translated immediately. Low turnovers and good FG% round out a profile that fantasy managers love to plug into a build.
He's going to remain one of the premier shooting threats in the league — that's not going anywhere. The ceiling question in 9-cat is the defensive end, which simply isn't there yet. No meaningful stocks limits how high the overall rank can climb. Reasonable expectation is top-45 to top-60, with top-35 possible if assists develop and he chips in the occasional steal. 'Boring player everyone wishes they drafted after two months' is a perfectly fine outcome.

Finished 156th on the season, 119th over the last 30 — quietly trending in the right direction. Sneaky interesting rookie year. Coward checked all the boxes for the efficient wing archetype: 47.1% FG, 84.3% FT, 1.5 threes, contributions across points, boards, and assists with low turnovers. Not a usage hog, rarely a liability. Those players often become year-2 fantasy glue guys.
The ceiling question is the only real debate — does he become a 18-7-4 player or stay at 13-5-2? That difference is massive. Reasonable expectation is top-90 range, with top-70 upside if steals and threes rise together. Sharp managers quietly take him while casuals chase upside. Round 8–9 is exactly the right price.

Finished 140th on the season, 141st over the last 30 — flat as a line all year. Queen flashed in stretches and the rebounding was real, but consistency was hard to find.
His fantasy value lives and dies with playing time in New Orleans, and the minutes picture is genuinely unclear. Top-90 to top-110 is the realistic band, with top-70 upside if minutes jump meaningfully. Round 9–10 is fair. Much more attractive in points leagues than 9-cat.

11.8/3.4/3.9 with 0.8 STL on .505 FG, .343 3P, .756 FT across 69 games as a 19-year-old rookie. Started just 4 regular-season games behind Fox and Devin Vassell — the raw production finished outside the top-200 in 9-cat (rank ~209), purely a function of 22.6 MPG. The talent showed in the playoffs: promoted to the starting lineup when Fox went down with an ankle injury, then dropped 24/11/6 with 7 STL on OKC in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. All-Rookie First Team is a real signal — second-overall picks who post a per-36 19-6-6 line as 19-year-olds aren't common.
Talent and pedigree are not in question; the year-2 fantasy bet is entirely about role. As the bench guard he is now, he doesn't crack the top-150 in 9-cat. The path to relevance is Fox ceding minutes — Fox is 28 with an ankle history, and Mitch Johnson trusted Harper enough to start him deep in the playoffs. That's the flyer thesis: a R10–R11 pick where the downside is small and the upside is a real fantasy starter if the lead-guard reps open up. Don't reach in single-digit rounds; let him come to you late.